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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2090732389437788371:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 21 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$USDT Dominance - Update When we get that dip to those lows i expect to get a dip on $ETH $BTC and Altcoins so pay attention. https://t.co/Co9PupBwmA

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,888 at 21 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,049 at 22 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 77049.4 / 77888.18 − 1 = -1.08%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.08% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “When we get that dip to those lows i expect to get a dip on $ETH $BTC and Altcoins so pay attention.”
Confidence: 89%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$77,888

Evaluation price

$77,049

Move

-1.08%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 17:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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