Published 21 Aug 2026, 12:39 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC
Rekt Capital
@rektcapital
Quoting · 13 Apr 2026, 12:52 UTC · context given to the AI
#BTC Whenever Bitcoin breaks down from its Macro Triangles (black), price tends to retrace until it forms a Bear Market bottom over time But the manner in which Bitcoin does this is different from cycle to cycle In 2018 and 2022 for instance, the Macro Triangle breakdown led to very rapid Bearish Acceleration until the final Bear Market Bottom accumulation period But what we are seeing now is more akin to the 2014 Macro Triangle, where price is consolidating beneath the Triangle base (orange) If Bitcoin continues to mirror 2014 then price could still continue to consolidate a bit more but the base of its current Triangle (~$82500) would be the ceiling for Bitcoin Furthermore, Bitcoin tends to build major consolidation periods on breakdowns from Macro Triangles (orange boxes) In 2018 and 2022, these major consolidation periods developed at Bear Market bottoms Whereas in 2014, Bitcoin built two such periods: just beneath the Macro Triangle it broke down from and then later at its respective Bear Market Bottom If history repeats, this current consolidation period could precede additional Macro Downside over time and the next major consolidation period would develop around the Bear Market Bottom $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin#BTC Bitcoin has reached the Macro Triangle Downtrend Technically, Bitcoin is still experiencing Macro Lower Highs and would need to break this Macro Downtrend to enter into a new Macro Uptrend $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/xdfTbgsnl0 https://t.co/fLe9rajX4KView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 77300.01 / 77200 − 1 = +0.13%d × r = -0.13% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutralOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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