Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,433 at 22 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,389 at 23 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 2388.57 / 2433.01 − 1 = -1.83%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.83% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology