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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2091167758084124879:memecoin:$TRUMP

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 Aug 2026, 14:17 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

I bet this move on $TRUMP is another liquidity grab before we head lower https://t.co/krg8QyqAzA

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $TRUMP price at or after publication, $2.35 at 22 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2.72 at 23 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 2.7229459996144003 / 2.3539502070920753 − 1 = +15.68%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -15.68% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $TRUMP ($TRUMP)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “I bet this move on $TRUMP is another liquidity grab before we head lower https://t.co/krg8QyqAzA”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$2.35

Evaluation price

$2.72

Move

+15.68%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

geckoterminal

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 17:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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