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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2091188645743202815:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$USDT Dominance - Update We think we do pump from this level on the short term, which would give BTC that dip down i am looking for. https://t.co/7llCcuMt8T

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,971 at 22 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,133 at 23 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 77133.44 / 76970.56 − 1 = +0.21%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.21% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “We think we do pump from this level on the short term, which would give BTC that dip down i am looking for.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$76,971

Evaluation price

$77,133

Move

+0.21%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 17:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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