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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2091456410211000578:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Aug 2026, 09:24 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$USDT Dominance - Update Should see a pullback today, which in turn gives Bitcoin & Ethereum a chance to relief up a bit. https://t.co/kFUYk5Pmh5

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,540 at 23 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,541 at 24 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 77540.78 / 76540 − 1 = +1.31%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.31% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (stated in post)
Evidence span: “Should see a pullback today, which in turn gives Bitcoin & Ethereum a chance to relief up a bit.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$76,540

Evaluation price

$77,541

Move

+1.31%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 16:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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