Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Aug 2026, 17:58 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Quoting · 23 Aug 2026, 13:18 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin 2-week MACD just flashed a bullish cross The last two happened at the exact cycle bottoms https://t.co/GVFN87ZgpI

We're at the exact same point in time. The end of the bear market, the Q4 2022 period. This time it's earlier, as everything is different in previous cycle anyway. The good part: from here we're in a bull market for #Bitcoin & #Crypto. https://t.co/OiYD9pKEVR

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“The bull market has barely started at this point for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/mXQlJnF8UI”Repeat23 Aug 2026, 20:04 UTC
“Little sweep on the lows for #Bitcoin and we're bouncing upwards. As long as it stays above $77,000, I think we'll see a test at $80,000 coming in. https://t.co/MeJHInkzyv https://t.co/hBf4Dhkt7s”Repeat24 Aug 2026, 08:01 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “The good part: from here we're in a bull market for #Bitcoin & #Crypto.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record