Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,601 at 23 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,735 at 24 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC.
3. r = 78734.61 / 77600.67 − 1 = +1.46%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.46% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology