Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,348 at 25 Aug 2026, 05:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,824 at 26 Aug 2026, 05:00 UTC.
3. r = 78823.85 / 80348.07 − 1 = -1.90%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.90% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology