Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 25 Aug 2026, 13:42 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$USDT Dominance - Update We will get another Crypto pump, but i am waiting on some more relief on USDT then the final dump in next couple of days will provide that relief on Bitcoin https://t.co/i70S7kaYWa

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,633 at 25 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,445 at 26 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 78445.14 / 78633.34 − 1 = -0.24%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.24% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (stated in post)
Evidence span: “We will get another Crypto pump, but i am waiting on some more relief on USDT then the final dump in next couple of days will provide that relief on Bitcoin https://t.co/i70S7kaYWa”
Confidence: 72%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

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