Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 25 Aug 2026, 17:17 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:39 UTC

PlanB

@100trillionUSD

@MarcusBurelius Haha bitcoin regaining S2F (250k-1m range) .. this halving cycle .. would be max pain!

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@MarcusBurelius Haha bitcoin regaining S2F (250k-1m range) ..”
Confidence: 53%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (53%); Unsupported horizon: "unspecified timeframe"
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

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