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Published 26 Aug 2026, 13:37 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC
Rekt Capital
@rektcapital
Quoting · 24 Aug 2026, 11:08 UTC · context given to the AI
#BTC Bitcoin has actually performed a marginal Weekly Close above the 50-week EMA (purple) Technically, this is a bullish Weekly Close However, because it is a marginal one, price has very little room to dip to perform a successful retest Market conditions will need to be very bullish for this retest to become a successful one Another thing worth noting is the following: What if Bitcoin is perform a fake-breakout beyond the 50 week EMA (purple) in the same way that price did beyond the 21-week EMA (green) on the previous Relief Rally? At the end of the day, it all comes down to the retest And ultimately - here's what this is all about: Can Bitcoin sustain itself at these highs? Because previous Bear Market Rallies would dissipate within a few weeks and pullback substantially If this is a Bear Market rally, Bitcoin would need to fail the 50-week EMA (purple) retest and pullback over the next few weeks $BTC #Bitcoin#BTC Bitcoin continues to try to maintain the highs above the 50-week EMA (purple) while any upside attempt is being immediately rejected Bitcoin needs to hold here a good while to demonstrate price-strength confirmation Once again, if this is a Bear Market Relief Rally (and you can always make this case for as long as price maintains Macro Lower Highs), price won't be able to keep these highs for too long $BTC #BitcoinView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 77112.64 / 78445.14 − 1 = -1.70%d × r = +1.70% against a neutral band of ±2.50% → neutralOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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