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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2092612088594157946:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 26 Aug 2026, 13:56 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$BTC / $USD - Update Still no trade right now, but I am looking for a tap of the range high https://t.co/Hpwgmrvt7b

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,445 at 26 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $79,533 at 27 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 79533.01 / 78445.14 − 1 = +1.39%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.39% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC / $USD - Update”
Confidence: 76%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status: correct

Baseline price

$78,445

Evaluation price

$79,533

Move

+1.39%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 15:11 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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