Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 28 Aug 2026, 18:41 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

Quoting · 28 Aug 2026, 11:17 UTC · context given to the AI

$USDT Dominance - Update Soon as that low is tapped, EXIT ALL CRYPTO MARKETS https://t.co/iQqZTjmBfn

$USDT Dominance - Update Played out perfect and so we got the dip on Bitcoin / Ethereum. We will get new highs on BTC ETH in time https://t.co/qm1OlowEDA https://t.co/8zKl4tmghX

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,545 at 28 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,153 at 29 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 78152.99 / 77544.63 − 1 = +0.78%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.78% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Played out perfect and so we got the dip on Bitcoin / Ethereum.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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