Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,062 at 1 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,778 at 2 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 76778.49 / 78061.72 − 1 = -1.64%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.64% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology