Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,044 at 1 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,113 at 2 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 77112.64 / 78043.64 − 1 = -1.19%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.19% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology