Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,706 at 6 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,815 at 7 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 78815.05 / 79706.26 − 1 = -1.12%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.12% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology