Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 Sept 2026, 02:57 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:38 UTC

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

$ETH as much as we like to joke around, this one didn't move very much at all and the chart still looks pretty good...I think we see a big candle still as long as btc doesnt completely die https://t.co/QqaviZfL6s

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,474 at 10 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,446 at 11 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC.
r = 2445.97 / 2474.01 − 1 = -1.13%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.13% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH as much as we like to joke around, this one didn't move very much at all and the chart still looks pretty good...I think we see a big candle still as long as btc doesnt completely die https://t.co/QqaviZfL6s”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

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AI interpretation

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