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Leaderboard / @AltcoinSherpa / 2098840942086062427:memecoin:$PUMP

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 12 Sept 2026, 18:27 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:38 UTC

Al

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

$PUMP I had dozens of orders in the green box at 0.034 and pissed I didn't add a starter position for PUMP. Will chase this one higher but going to keep watching it for right now. Big news https://t.co/UjDTcGQ1to

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $PUMP price at or after publication, $0.003886 at 12 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.003565 at 13 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 0.003564707053075998 / 0.003885506388397096 − 1 = -8.26%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -8.26% against a neutral band of ±5.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $PUMP ($PUMP)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$PUMP I had dozens of orders in the green box at 0.034 and pissed I didn't add a starter position for PUMP.”
Confidence: 79%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$0.003886

Evaluation price

$0.003565

Move

-8.26%

Neutral threshold

±5.00%

Price provider

geckoterminal

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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