Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,659 at 14 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,915 at 15 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 76914.71 / 77659.24 − 1 = -0.96%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.96% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology