Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 15 Sept 2026, 09:21 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Quoting · 15 Sept 2026, 01:10 UTC · context given to the AI

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Democrats reject Republican crypto Clarity Act draft bill over ethics language.

Clearly the reason why the markets are selling off. #Bitcoin is now looking to sweep the lows. It's a volatile 48 hours, as we've got the Clarity Act and the FOMC meeting. If there's a further dip, I'm willing to buy this. https://t.co/M4JU9NVCCx

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“Indeed, $78,000 is the crucial trigger. Massive breakout on the horizon and this won't stop soon. #Bitcoin is in a bull market. https://t.co/DxzdevHZsL”Repeat14 Sept 2026, 20:31 UTC
“Unfortunately, #Bitcoin isn't holding $78,000. This means that we might be looking at a deeper sweep before we continue to go up (although we're stuck in the range). It starts to look a lot like the price action we've seen at the end of August. Chop, chop, sweep of the low and then push upwards.”Repeat15 Sept 2026, 07:27 UTC
“If this dips further, then anything beneath $75,700 is essentially a steal for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/aQvyIxaNJV”Repeat15 Sept 2026, 11:28 UTC
“We keep on falling down with the markets and #Bitcoin as this continues. With this speed, Bitcoin hits $74,000 prior to the vote and will bounce back massively once it hits 'APPROVED' tonight. https://t.co/qodrYJlRTE”Repeat

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “#Bitcoin is now looking to sweep the lows.”
Confidence: 80%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record