Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,405 at 16 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,439 at 17 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTC.
3. r = 2438.89 / 2404.53 − 1 = +1.43%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.43% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology