Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 16 Sept 2026, 18:26 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Quoting · 16 Sept 2026, 18:07 UTC · context given to the AI

FOMC increases rates by 25bps. That’s not a bad sign. That’s a good sign. Pump the markets.

Cutting rates would be incredibly bad for markets. Holding steady would be ok. Hiking rates effectively increases QE, so #Bitcoin can rally. https://t.co/B7ezF2p5cF

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“This is the area where I'm getting interested on the markets, as #Bitcoin sweeps the lows here. I'm more or less most interest if this goes to $74,000 as that's been my preferred area all along. Sweep of the lows done, fear is in the markets, and we most likey get a ton of short liquidity in the markets now too.”Repeat15 Sept 2026, 20:26 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Hiking rates effectively increases QE, so #Bitcoin can rally.”
Confidence: 94%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record