Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,299 at 19 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,430 at 20 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 80430.01 / 81298.84 − 1 = -1.07%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.07% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology