Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,280 at 19 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,437 at 20 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 80437.36 / 81280 − 1 = -1.04%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.04% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology