Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,649 at 19 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,640 at 20 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 2640.46 / 2649.25 − 1 = -0.33%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.33% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology