Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,638 at 19 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,626 at 20 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 2625.99 / 2638.42 − 1 = -0.47%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.47% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology