Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,285 at 20 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,707 at 21 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 81707.14 / 80284.56 − 1 = +1.77%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.77% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology