Published 21 Sept 2026, 19:52 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
In reply to · 21 Sept 2026, 16:45 UTC · context given to the AI
🚨 THIS BITCOIN HISTORICAL FRACTAL IS ABSOLUTELY CRAZY The last time the Fed hiked rates after an extended pause during a bear market, Bitcoin staged a quick ~5% fakeout pump right into the 50-week moving average... before dropping 60% Now look at the 2026 weekly chart The exact same macro pattern is lining up right now: 2022 Cycle: > Fed rate decision after pause > Quick ~5% pump into 50-week SMA > Massive ~60% macro dump followed Current 2026 Setup: > Fed rate decision after long pause > Price squeezes into 50-week SMA > Major downside liquidity stacked below Bulls are celebrating this local push, but historical odds suggest this move could be the setup before the real drop unfolds If history repeats, the higher probability path leans toward a deeper reset before a true structural bottom forms Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated@0xPepesso Yeah and this comparison won't hold up.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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