Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $86,588 at 22 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $84,314 at 23 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 84314.48 / 86587.58 − 1 = -2.63%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.63% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology