Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $84,091 at 24 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $84,320 at 24 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC.
3. r = 84320.1 / 84090.54 − 1 = +0.27%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.27% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology