Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $CATE price at or after publication, $0.1076 at 25 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.09314 at 26 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.0931421403987997 / 0.10759403099239097 − 1 = -13.43%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -13.43% against a neutral band of ±5.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology