Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Sept 2026, 08:20 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$BTC - Update Shallow wave to $80,000 then bounce, or deeper to come. Either wave another wave lower is expected, while we reject from key levels. https://t.co/8uSkLXGAnb

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“Bitcoin still has more downside to go So more downside on Altcoins yet. The bounces will be strong when bottom is in”Repeat29 Sept 2026, 17:54 UTC
“$BTC - Update If we do lose that key level then things can get ugly fast, so plan ahead legends. We did not bounce enough for me yesterday so a new high could be out the question for now. https://t.co/BJ30EkdO8d”Repeat30 Sept 2026, 06:50 UTC
“$USDT Dominance - Update The main issue i have with a wave up now on Bitcoin before one more leg lower, is this. We are missing the C wave up on USDT dominance. We have at least one wave down on Bitcoin to come. Then we can talk about UPTOBER afterwards from the reaction. https://t.co/YsanE2AvMX”Repeat30 Sept 2026, 07:59 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC - Update”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record