Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $84,873 at 1 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $84,760 at 2 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 84760 / 84872.88 − 1 = -0.13%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.13% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology