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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2105729957586505879:memecoin:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 1 Oct 2026, 18:41 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

ethereum:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85 - Update I am simply mapping out where we could see some good legs up from. As it seems the market has stalled for now. https://t.co/BDuRedjMgA

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $FET price at or after publication, $0.234 at 1 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.2171 at 2 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 0.217083424304637 / 0.233958866510517 − 1 = -7.21%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -7.21% against a neutral band of ±5.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $FET ($FET)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “ethereum:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85 - Update”
Confidence: 75%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$0.234

Evaluation price

$0.2171

Move

-7.21%

Neutral threshold

±5.00%

Price provider

geckoterminal

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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