Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,753 at 2 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,683 at 3 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 2682.53 / 2753.1 − 1 = -2.56%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.56% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology