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Leaderboard / @CryptoWendyO / 2106018714227527945:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Oct 2026, 13:49 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC

Cr

Wendy O

@CryptoWendyO

Uptober is real $BTC is primed Long your longs https://t.co/Ztewu3JFNI

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $86,566 at 2 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $84,857 at 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 84857.44 / 86565.98 − 1 = -1.97%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.97% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Uptober is real $BTC is primed”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$86,566

Evaluation price

$84,857

Move

-1.97%

Neutral threshold

±1.00%

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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