Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $84,289 at 2 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $84,837 at 3 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 84836.99 / 84288.66 − 1 = +0.65%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.65% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology