Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $84,599 at 3 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $85,094 at 4 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 85093.8 / 84599 − 1 = +0.58%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.58% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology