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Leaderboard / @AshCrypto / 2106506195141833166:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 3 Oct 2026, 22:06 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:22 UTC

As

Ash Crypto

@AshCrypto

The bottom is in. A new bull market has started. Any correction is an opportunity. Bears are in disbelief because they missed buying Bitcoin and alts at the low prices. BIGGEST. BULL. RUN. EVER.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $84,756 at 3 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $86,423 at 4 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC.
r = 86423 / 84755.94 − 1 = +1.97%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.97% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bears are in disbelief because they missed buying Bitcoin and alts at the low prices.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$84,756

Evaluation price

$86,423

Move

+1.97%

Neutral threshold

±1.00%

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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