Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $84,787 at 4 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $86,639 at 5 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 86639.24 / 84786.9 − 1 = +2.18%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.18% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology