Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,235 at 4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $85,250 at 5 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 85250.37 / 85235 − 1 = +0.02%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.02% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology