Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,303 at 4 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $85,428 at 5 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 85428.19 / 85302.9 − 1 = +0.15%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.15% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology