Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,775 at 5 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $85,608 at 6 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC.
3. r = 85607.57 / 85775.47 − 1 = -0.20%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.20% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology