Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,929 at 5 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $85,527 at 6 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC.
3. r = 85527.22 / 85929.4 − 1 = -0.47%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.47% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology