Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $120.86 at 6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $116.25 at 7 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 116.25 / 120.86 − 1 = -3.81%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +3.81% against a neutral band of ±1.50% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology