Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,710 at 7 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $82,429 at 8 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 82429.12 / 83709.58 − 1 = -1.53%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.53% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology