Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,567 at 8 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,502 at 9 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 2502 / 2566.54 − 1 = -2.51%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.51% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology