Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,862 at 12 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,344 at 13 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 81343.98 / 83862.2 − 1 = -3.00%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.00% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology