Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,317 at 12 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83,250 at 13 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 83250.07 / 83317.31 − 1 = -0.08%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.08% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology